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Who Should I Pick?
Now that’s an interesting question. When I look across the draft board for the 2008 fantasy football season there are all types of guys I like and dislike this year for fantasy football.  Selecting players in the draft is all a function of position.  Who is there that can help my team? What players are good value at the spot I’m looking to select them?  On this year’s board, there are several players that stick out as great fantasy value picks and some that I’d just as soon let someone else take the gamble on. 

Quarterbacks
Drew Brees's stats from last year dwarf everyone's else, but I have a feeling that after a down year Peyton Manning will be back and Tom Brady is healthy again.  To be competitive this year, you must have a solid QB on your roster and there's lots of them available.  Look to draft either Brady,  Manning, Brees, Warner, Rivers, Rodgers, or Romo.  These guys will have big years and a slight dropoff in talent begins right thereafter.  If I can grab one of these guys this year to anchor a lineup i
ncluding a stud running back or two, I’m pulling the trigger immediately.  Especially in leagues that allow quarterbacks to have six points for touchdowns and negative points for interceptions, the top seven guys are great value picks for their touchdown to interception ratio alone.  This year, it's conceivable for all seven to throw for over 4000 yards and over 30 touchdowns … that’s solid production at the Fantasy QB position. 

The next tier of quarterbacks, your Schaub, McNabb, or Ryan, should also have solid years.  They’re good value picks after about round four and will score plenty of touchdowns, but they're just a notch below the premiere five guys.  From here is gets kind of questionable and if I have to depend on Palmer, Roethlisberger, Cassel, or Manning to lead me to a title, I hope I've drafted some studs at the running back and wide receiver positions.  The talent drop off in the next tier is sharp, with lots of question marks heading into 2009.  Can Jay Cutler rebound in Chicago and still be a force at the fantasy position?  Is Matt Hasselbeck ready to rebound from the injuries that have plagued him the last couple of seasons?   Is Trent Edwards ready to lead the Bills offense to the playoffs?  Is Joe Flacco ready to take the next step in Baltimore?  If you can hit on one of these guys, you might have a fantasy stud at the Quarterback position.  I like Vince Young and Derek Anderson as backups with upside.  I’m not too high on Tavares Jackson, Jason Campbell, or Marc Bulger.  Shaun Hill intrigues me … . 

Running backs
You have two stud running backs sitting on top of the draft order that every fantasy owner is dying to get a piece of in Adrian Peterson and Michael Turner with both hovering around 1700 yards on the ground last season.  Both of them should be 20 - 30 point producers per week.  Adrian Peterson is ready to pickup where he left off as the NFL's most explosive back and Michael Turner is poised to challenge him for the lead.  The next group of guys are solid performers with a lot of upside sure to make a great addition to any fantasy squad.  Chris Johnson, DeAngelo Williams, Steve Slaton, and Matt Forte are each poised for monster fantasy years, cementing their legacy as fantasy football superstars.  The three rookies should improve on solid performances last year and although Deangleo Williams will face more competition from Johnathan Stewart on Carolina, he should build upon his breakout 2009 campaign.  Marion Barber was a bit of a disappointment last year, Steven Jackson and Larry Johnson continue to be mediocre, and Marshawn Lynch with his three game suspension makes him a risky early pick.   

Wide Receivers
Randy Moss, Reggie Wayne, Larry Fitzgerald, and Terrell Owens, these guys are widely considered the premiere pass catchers of the 2008 season.  Randy Moss will score touchdowns and continue his barrage of the record books.  I like Reggie Wayne, he's a stud.  Larry Fitzgerald is up and coming and with a lock down on a multi-year contract, he is primed for a breakout year.  Terrell Owens is solid, but at age 34,  with fellow receivers from the class of 1996 starting to slow down - Marvin Harrison, Eric Moulds, Keyshawn Jonson, Terry Glenn, Mushin Muhammed, Joe Horn, when will father time begin to creep up on this grizzly veteran.  The question is who are the up and coming wide outs for 2008.  I really like Andre Johnson, Braylon Edwards, and Brandon Marshall.  Chad   Jonson and Marvin Harrison may have lost a step, so I'd avoid them this year.  After the studs have been taken, look to Marques Colston, Plaxico Burress, TJ Housh, and Steve Smith for good production.  The third year wide outs rule is always in effect.  Keep an eye on Brandon Marshall, Greg Jennings, Santonio Holmes, Demitrius Williams, and Derek Hagan in Miami.  This is a good year for wideouts andI expect lots of them to produce this year and lots of value in later rounds.  Do yourself a favor, get a stud wideout early, concentrate on getting a top notch QB, two stud running backs, and then load up on these late round wide receivers.  You're sure to hit on at least two that will round out a solid fantasy lineup.

What I said Last year ...   
Torry Holt is hurt.  Don’t let anyone mislead you, he may get better and be that stud receiving threat he always has been, but can you wait until mid-season for that to happen?  The effects of his injury will linger into the regular season.  My advice is to let someone else take a chance on Holt.  Take TO instead.  Lots of people don’t like TO, and for that reason he may hang out on draft boards a little longer than expected.  That’s why you want to grab him, TO has at least one more elite season in him, no worries about production there.  The next group of guys, the Steve Smiths, Roy Williams, Larry Fitzgerald, Javon Walker, Lee Evans, Andre Johnson will all give you very solid production at the wide receiver spot.   If you can pair a few of these guys together, you will find yourself going deep into the playoffs.  The third year receiver rule is definitely in effect this year, look for guys like Reggie Brown, Braylon Edwards, Mark Clayton, Troy Williamson, and Brandon Jones who are in their third year in the National Football League to take that next step toward respectability. 

Tight Ends, Defenses, and Kickers
Unless you’re grabbing the elite, and I mean Jason Witten, Winslow, Gonzo, Gates, you don’t need to be looking at these lists anytime before the tenth round.  TE’s, D’s, and K’s are all available late in the draft that can get you strong production to propel your team into the fantasy football playoffs and beyond.  Don’t bypass good value and the top three point producing positions to take a flyer on the defense that is just like all the rest.

Follow these keys throughout your fantasy football draft and I guarantee you will field a strong fantasy football contender.  Stay away from guys with nagging injuries or guys that are sharing the football in running back by committee backfields.   Remember to focus on grabbing solid producers at each round.  Don’t grab guys that are suspended or injured hoping that they can turn it on later in the season.  By the time they do, you’ll already be on the outside of the playoff picture looking in.  Good Luck!
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